• The Black Swan. The Impact Of Highly Improbable
  • The Black Swan. The Impact Of Highly Improbable

The Black Swan. The Impact Of Highly Improbable

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RUR 1015 В наличии

What have the invention of the wheel, Pompeii, the Wall Street Crash, Harry Potter and the internet got in common? Why are all forecasters con-artists? What can Catherine the Great's lovers tell us about probability? And, why should you never run for a train or read a newspaper? This book is all about Black Swans: the random events that underlie our lives, from bestsellers to world disasters


  • A rallying cry to ignore the 'experts', The Black Swan shows us how to stop trying to predict everything - and take advantage of uncertainty.

    Their impact is huge they're impossible to predict yet after they happen we always try to rationalize them

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